Hot answers tagged

168

Yes, the numbers are correct (within an error margin – probably due to different sources and time of capture). According to the 2018 House election results (I used this handy Washington Post page), adding up numbers for NC, will give you the total of 1,748,173 votes for Democrats and 1,643,790 for Republicans – very close to the claim. Ten of ...


116

As with many of Trumps statements, this does not seem to be true. There are dozens of journalists from different political backgrounds rejecting the claim: Politico: Trump’s Claims About Illegal Votes Are Nonsense. I Debunked the Study He Cites as ‘Evidence.’ CNN: Trump falsely claims 'millions of people who voted illegally' cost him popular vote NPR: Here ...


92

First, the graphs In the charts posted, the blue line shows the proportion of 90's registered to vote. The orange bars show the actual number of 90's registered to vote. Although the two graphs are scaled the same as each other, they use a different scale on the left as on the right, and the data compiler has fixed the scales so that on the "Democrat ...


77

No, it was due to a data entry mistake that was quickly corrected. The screenshots showed a change in the vote tallies as they appeared on the elections map powered by Decision Desk HQ, an election data and analysis service. The photos appeared to show that in one update overnight, Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden received a sudden influx of 138,...


58

+1 to Philipp, but alternatively [isn't that ironic in a question about Trump?], the claim could be true if we count the 2017 NYC mayoral election: Both Mr Trump and his wife, Melania, applied for absentee ballots to vote in the 7 November mayoral election in New York City, where they lived before moving to Washington DC. Ms Trump’s application went off ...


56

This is a community wiki supplement to the other answer, which makes the columns easier to read and shows vote difference for each district. 3rd party or other votes are not included. District D R Margin Total Votes Majority % ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 188,074 ...


56

The sources are not contradictory. The time period being considered needs to be understood. Heritage is going back to about 1982 (except for one earlier case from 1948 as Antlersoft and Nat point out!). For example: In 1982, 27 individuals participated in an illegal scheme to boost Honolulu voter registrations for candidate Ross Segawa. Segawa ...


51

The table posted in the question, showing 11 very old voters, is taken from the public records of Pennsylvania. When ordered by date of birth, it exactly matches. The data shown is for registered mail voters. Here is a chart by age of voter. I found a few anomolies, for example one voter was born on 7 May 2020 and there is one other minor. Also ignored are ...


46

There is a so-called "red shift", but it's caused by unreliable exit polls leaning blue, not fraud causing the actual results to shift red. If you had asked whether polls in general showed a Democratic lean compared to the results, you would be getting a very different answer. But since you specifically asked about exit polls, this is all about ...


45

The Poll The poll doesn't try to make any claim about illegal votes or illegal registration. The voter profile does contain a page which says that 13% of registered voters in the poll were non-citizens (p68). It does not state the status of these non-citizens, and it does not say where they were registered, or if they actually voted. As the Washington ...


38

BBC 2010 election page gives a summary. The data can be found at the Electoral Commission which oversees the votes. Party Seats Gain Loss Net Votes % Conservative 307 100 3 +97 10,726,614 36.1 Labour 258 3 94 -91 8,609,527 29.0 Liberal Democrat 57 8 13 -5 6,836,824 23.0 These numbers ...


33

The rules vary by state. The majority of states require employers to grant paid time off for workers to vote unless there is a substantial period outside of their normal working hours that they could vote. Vote411.org has a summary of every state's rules. BusinessInsider has a similar summary, claiming that 30 out of 50 states require employers to allow ...


31

The problem is the Heritage Foundation is redefining "voter fraud" when the accepted definition does not match with their narrative. To be fair, they use the correct term of "election fraud" which is much broader, but then they introduce it as relevant to a discussion about voter ID and voter fraud. Usually, when claims like that are made,...


28

This will be long, so I'll include a summary at the end. Harvard's Cooperative Congressional Election Study (http://projects.iq.harvard.edu/cces/home) is made up of multiple groups of researchers who query over 50,000 people before and after American elections. In the 2010 election survey* The 2010 CCES involved 30 teams, yielding a Common Content sample of ...


23

No. Those claims were never supported by any evidence. If there was any evidence of millions of "illegal votes", presumably, against Trump, his campaign would have surely requested a recount and/or filed a lawsuit to challenge the results in those states. Election officials in the 3 states mentioned by Trump, New Hampshire, Virginia, and California ...


22

This is actually a matter of statistics. Counting the ballots in the election has required more than 7 million poll workers spread across 810,000 poll stations in a very wide variety of regions -- for example, some ballot boxes had to be transported up mountaintops by horse. Of those 7 million workers, 2,000 (0.03%) have become ill during the past two ...


22

Does New York actually have stricter voting restrictions than Georgia? Rather than trying to come up with some objective measure of voting restrictions, I'll cover the claims, the regulations, and where NY and Georgia are moving relative to themselves. The claim is a combination of cherry picking, whataboutism, and lies about election security. As we'll see,...


21

The referenced study is here: Gordon Hodson and Michael A. Busser, "Bright Minds and Dark Attitudes: Lower Cognitive Ability Predicts Greater Prejudice Through Right-Wing Ideology and Low Intergroup Contact". Psych Science 2012. User March Ho also linked to a pdf. This is a real study in a respected journal, so I'll give them the benefit of the doubt that ...


20

The stacks of votes come from Dundee, where, according to the Yes campaign But the "Yes" campaign in Dundee has clarified that the image in question merely shows votes waiting to be counted - not ones that have been counted already. They tweeted: "To clarify, ballot papers have not yet been sorted in Yes/No and are just resting on table where No will go ...


19

I'm not skeptical that she voted illegally, but I'm skeptical about the five times in just a 3 year period. Is this "five times between 2012 and 2014" aspect of the story true? No. That's apparently newspeople playing the game of telephone (Fox isn't the only organization that got it wrong). She did vote five times, but that occurred between 2004 and 2014. ...


18

There are a lot of elections in the United States and the claim doesn't say which elections it refers to exactly, but the claim is wrong for the 2016 presidential election. This video published by the New York Times shows Donald and Melania Trump casting their votes in person during the 2016 presidential election. The Daily Mail also published an article ...


16

The root issue at play is the drive by several states to begin "All-Mail Voting". Instead of visiting polling places to vote, registered voters would be mailed ballots to be sent back. From the article on All-Mail Voting on Ballotpedia Five states – Colorado, Hawaii, Oregon, Utah, and Washington – conduct what are commonly referred to as all-mail ...


15

Trivially false: FiveThirtyEight lists four general-election polls by three groups that were released on the 22nd or 23rd. That said, it's uncommon for poll results to be released on a weekend. In comparison to the four on the weekend, FiveThirtyEight lists ten nationwide poll results by four groups and fifteen single-state polls by six groups that were ...


15

I believe the claim is this one from the Georgia Star News. Before we get into the details, let's cover the whopper. Claim: The emergency order allowing absentee voting in Georgia expired five days before the election. 100% FALSE. Georgia has laws about absentee ballots. What the emergency order in question did was allow them to be put in secure drop boxes ...


14

Background This bears some confusion. Gerrymandering is a real thing, but it is not the primary problem with (from the other answer) Regardless of which side is doing it, a portion of the population is not getting a fair representation and that's (again in my opinion) a problem. The number one reason why people lack representation in the United States ...


14

Yes, these claims are true. The department of the Mexican government responsible for the integrity of the electoral process is Instituto Nacional Electoral (INE) [National Electoral Institute]. My answer refers to their resources extensively. Going through the claims: "To vote in Mexico every eligible Mexican citizen has to have a [ID card]" The ...


14

Articuno gives a source showing it was suggested by a group of citizens. This answer addresses action taken in Congress. I found this very informative blog post by Robert Brammer, a librarian with the Library of Congress. It appears that several pieces of legislation were introduced in the 64th Congress (1915-1917) that would have required a national ...


13

Evidence: Experts warn against the usage of internet voting in USA unless the vote data is transmitted in a safe, secure and verifiable process over the internet. In 2008, 32 respected computer scientists from universities across the country, including Stanford University, Princeton University, John Hopkins University, Carnegie Mellon University, Indiana ...


12

Having let some time pass for investigation, the apparent conclusion here is No, it's not credible. A Washington Post article titled "7 papers, 4 government inquiries, 2 news investigations and 1 court ruling proving voter fraud is mostly a myth", which admittedly takes a very strong editorial opinion on the matter, links to exactly what it claims ...


12

I believe this question is based on a misunderstanding of the poorly-expressed claim (which seems to be plagiarised on many sites). Compared with the distortions caused by First Past the Post voting, Preferential voting gives an advantage to minority parties: Dr Peter Chen from the University of Sydney said preferential voting allows for a greater number ...


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