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7

You seem to doubt that cars would be more popular among farmers "in remote areas" because you don't think there would be many people in those areas. The fact is that at the time that cars were new and farmers were "early adopters," the United States was more rural than urban - with farmers being the most "rural" of all because ...


7

Examining the 2017 paper Gasoline cars produce more carbonaceous particulate matter than modern filter-equipped diesel cars published in Nature, I find no mention of diesel cars reducing particulate matter. Figure 5 shows the "estimates of the contribution of diesel and gasoline passenger cars to ambient urban PM and carbonaceous aerosol" and none ...


4

Not sure what would be good evidence (along strict Skeptics SE lines) for the main (forecasting) question (since the data question is merely a prop). Perhaps that other forecasters came up with similar numbers? Starting in 2030, (Bloomberg New Energy Finance) BNEF predicts that 26 million EVs will be sold annually, representing 28 percent of the world's new ...


6

a goal of 20M/year production by 2030. The chart is trying to use 2019 material production numbers as a surrogate for 2030 material production after a large increase in EV production. For this to be useful, these basic assumptions must be true. 2019 production is a useful surrogate for 2030 production. An EV in 2030 will use the same materials as an EV in ...


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