0

A racist meme was posted on Quora in November 2023 claims that Norway deported Muslims and the crime rate dropped by 31%.

Warning: Image below contains an offensive cartoon.

Did Norway deport Muslims? Was that correlated with a drop in crime by 31%?

10
  • 1
    Somewhat vague when that's supposed to have happened. Apparently in 2020 facebook.com/400225720839953/posts/… Nov 29, 2023 at 9:34
  • 2
    Are we just supposed to ignore the racist meme? Nov 29, 2023 at 9:37
  • 2
    Deleted comments that said this was easy to answer, and then failed to use the answer box to do so
    – Oddthinking
    Nov 29, 2023 at 11:37
  • 2
    @Fizz: Based on that 2020 link, I get the impression it is a copy of something written around 2014.
    – Oddthinking
    Nov 29, 2023 at 11:39
  • 4
    I'm not sure if this makes for a good question. The claim is extremely vague, since there's no year or timeframe, or explanation what "deports muslims" means. If there is a drop of the crime rate from any one year to another (say cherry-picking 1977 and 2002), would that answer this question "yes" (assuming there were any deportations in that timefame, which seems likely)?
    – tim
    Nov 29, 2023 at 13:56

1 Answer 1

17

I'm looking at the more specific claim - with the same image and the 31% which DavePhD found:

violent crimes are down more than 31% in less than a year

The post is from January 2016 and talks about deportations in 2014. And it references a post from May 2015, which in turn references this (now deleted) post from April 2015. It doesn't give a source for the 31% claim.

The overall crime rate in Norway is on a steady decline, but there has not been a significant drop in the relevant years:

crime rate

Looking at the number of victims as it relates to deadly violence, we can see a decline from 2013 to 2014 of around 30% (from about 42 victims to around 25). Here's also a graph of the homicide rate, including an annual percentage change, which also shows a decline of around 37% (the second source likely includes the 77 victims of the far-right terror attack in 2011, hence the big spike):

victims per 100k

We can also see that 2013 was an outlier, and that the total number of murder victims is relatively low. Using it as a measure of violent crime in general is not useful. But this is the closest I could come to finding a 30% reduction in anything relating to crime. Looking at the larger context makes it clear that the reduction cannot be explained by any deportations in 2014.

Looking at the total number reported violent crimes (the source is the police of Norway), we can see a decline from 2013 to 2014 of 2.5%, which is much lower than the 31% from the claim:

violent crime rate

3
  • 3
    What about the other half of the claim? How many Muslims were deported, if any?
    – Laurel
    Nov 29, 2023 at 15:02
  • 13
    @Laurel I didn't look at that, because I think looking at crime stats is enough to disprove the claim. I also doubt that there are official statistics regarding the religion of those that are deported (at least I couldn't find any).
    – tim
    Nov 29, 2023 at 15:12
  • 3
    Article talking about the claim that Norway deported Muslims. Spoiler alert: they didn't. truthorfiction.com/… Nov 30, 2023 at 15:26

You must log in to answer this question.

Not the answer you're looking for? Browse other questions tagged .