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I've just come across a tweet by @spectatorindex that reads:

In 2018, more Americans have died in schools, with twenty-nine people killed, than in military service, where thirteen troops have been killed.

Are those figures true?

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    This has garnered enough attention for a Politifact article: politifact.com/florida/statements/2018/may/21/gwen-graham/…
    – user23048
    May 22, 2018 at 2:24
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    Obviously, this could as much be a measurement of the level of armed forces engagement as school violence. May 22, 2018 at 16:07
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    Not a very useful statistic considering that it is no older than 20 May. Waiting till the end of the year before making a statement like that would be less cherry picking (also note the low absolute numbers mentioned in the top voted answer).
    – user22865
    May 24, 2018 at 14:05
  • @JanDoggen With numbers this low, outliers will make a big difference whether it's five months or twelve. As the WaPo article notes, 2018 is a) unusual and b) driven largely by two major deadlier-than-average shootings.
    – ceejayoz
    May 24, 2018 at 19:16

1 Answer 1

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Yes, the statement that more Americans have been killed in schools than military service thus far in 2018 appears to be accurate. The exact numbers in the tweet are inaccurate, and the comparison isn't entirely reasonable and might mislead into thinking the risk to a schoolchild might be similar to that of military personnel.

Source: Washington Post

Initial estimates put the number killed at Santa Fe High School at eight. (The death toll has since risen to 10.) We can compare that to figures for the military compiled from Defense Department news releases, including both combat and noncombat deaths. Even excluding non-students who died in school shootings (for example, teachers) the total still exceeds military casualties.

2018 is a bit unusual:

A large part of that is the mass shooting at Marjory Stoneman Douglas High School in Parkland, Fla., on Feb. 14.

This is not usually the case. In 2017, the number of fatalities among service members was far higher than the number of people killed in school shootings, according to The Washington Post data.

The numbers are a bit tighter than 29-to-13 if you include accidental military deaths:

Graph showing cumulative deaths over 2018

... and it's important to remember that on a per-capita basis, the military remains far more dangerous:

The figures for 2018 do not suggest schools are more dangerous than combat zones. After all, there are more than 50 million students in public elementary and high schools and only about 1.3 million members of the armed forces. So far in 2018, a member of the military has been about 40 times as likely to be killed as someone is to die in a school shooting, including Keller’s revised figures.

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    – Sklivvz
    May 28, 2018 at 21:54

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