While I obviously cannot prove or disprove myself that the PDF on WhiteHouse.gov is a forgery, I will raise the following points, which you may find helpful in judging the credibility of the claim:
- The expert examiner Reed Hayes, on his website, suggests far less certainty regarding the results of his analysis than Arpaio's investigator reports.
- According to Arpaio's investigator, Zullo, anomalies in the document were first identified not by the experts he had asked to examine them, but by Mark Gillar, who is not an expert in document analysis. Zullo then called the expert examiners and told them about these anomalies.
- Zullo cannot explain the "unbelievable coincidence" of the authentic birth certificate that (according to his experts) was used as a template for Obama's, coming out years later.
The "leading experts" who examined the documents are named as:
The first expert used was Reed Hayes, a court-qualified handwriting document examiner in Honolulu with 40 years of experience. He's also a board member of the Scientific Association of Forensic Examiners. The second expert was Forlab in Italy, which specializes in analyzing data retrieved from multimedia files. This group trains law enforcement in Europe. Both worked independently and came to the same conclusions.
Regarding Reed Hayes, Mike Zullo, the lead investigator on the matter, reportedly told the World Tribune:
We have obtained an affidavit from a certified document analyzer, Reed Hayes, that states the document is a 100 percent forgery, no doubt about it.
Also, in the video (note: you can read transcript on YouTube), he claims to read the following excerpt from Reed Hayes's report:
The evidence noted herein is clear and convincing proof that the Obama certificate of live birth posted on whitehouse.gov on April 27, 2011 is a fraudulently manufactured document. Evidence indicates that the certificate of live birth of Johanna Ah'nee is one source utilized in the construction of the certificate of live birth.
However, Reed Hayes himself claims far less certainty on his website:
I have never stated in any of my cases that I am “100 percent certain” of anything.
He further clarifies that he is not legally permitted to share the report that he produced for the investigation. However, he does share the following summary of his conclusions, which does not suggest the same level of certainty as Zullo claims:
In short, there are indications that the Obama Certificate of Live Birth released by the White House in April 2011 may be a manufactured document or perhaps even an outright forgery. But without examining the original document housed at the Hawaii Department of Health, there can be no absolute certainty.
and he also says:
My report also makes it clear that I suspect the document released by the White House may be a fabricated document intended to bring down President Obama.
(which was not mentioned by Zullo).
Zullo says in the video that the analysis was conducted by
independent forensics examiners from two different disciplines.
However, his own account of what happened suggests something else. He says that the investigation happened
in assistance with - actually, the gentleman who makes my videos, Mr. Mark Gillar.
He reports that Mark Gillar (who according to his Twitter bio is "Host of The TEA Party Power Hour") is the one who found the date stamp anomaly, which Zullo himself then told the two "independent" examiners about:
when Mark made the adjustment those date stamps lined up perfectly. So we stopped. And I sent it to Italy and I sent it to Hawaii. And I waited.
Then, after they agreed that the date stamps were at the same angles,
I called Mark Gillar back, I go "Mark, now that we got the date stamps we need to start looking at the document." We're both looking at the machine at the same time. He's in Texas, I'm here, and he starts to line up the 61 that's on the top...
(and then Mark discovered more anomalies, which Zullo then told the examiners about, etc.)
He does not explain why he told the hired experts what the anomalies were supposed to be, rather than leaving them to independently draw their own conclusions.
Zullo says in this video that it is highly improbable that this would occur by coincidence, and that this is evidence that the Ah'nee birth certificate was used as a template to forge the Obama birth certificate:
What are the odds that two stamps in two separate boxes stamped by hand 16 days apart would have the exact same angle in box 20 and the exact same angle in box 22?
Here is another coincidence acknowledged by Zullo:
Reached by The Arizona Republic shortly afterward, Zullo said he obtained Ah’Nee’s birth certificate from a man named Jerome Corsi, who had authored a book on the matter. Zullo said he was unclear what led Corsi to Ah’Nee in the first place. “I have to be honest with you, that’s a really good question,” he said. “Because either that’s an unbelievable coincidence, or there’s something else going on.”
How did Ah'Nee got involved? According to WND:
a WND reader born in Kapiolani Hospital in Hawaii within about two weeks of Barack Obama’s birth voluntarily submitted to WND her own known-to-be-authentic birth certificate for analysis.
(In the WND article, the birth certificate is redacted, but you can see by comparing to the video that it's the same as the Ah'Nee birth certificate.)
So, there are two possible interpretations of the phenomenon:
- Two birth certificates that were stamped by hand have both date stamps at identical angles.
- The birth certificate provided to WND by a reader (after they reported on the difficulty associated with getting an authentic Obama-era birth certificate for comparison purposes) was the exact birth certificate used as a template to forge Obama's birth certificate years earlier.
Zullo finds it incredible that improbable things happen, but he does not have another explanation for the "unbelievable coincidence" in item 2 (other than "there’s something else going on").