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This article claims that five million Muslims are attempting to move to European countries.

Apparently the numbers that they’ve been selling to their unsuspecting populations are wrong by at least four million. The latest invasion reflects a truer number of five million, not one million — five million invaders. If that’s not war, what is?

Ignoring the highly emotive use of the word "invasion", I am interested whether the numbers claimed in this article have any factual basis or not.

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  • The source of the OP claim is umkreis-institut.de/umkreis-online/… Basically it is a prediction by a mayor of a district of Berlin. I think he really predicts "3-5 million" de.europenews.dk/…
    – DavePhD
    Commented Dec 9, 2016 at 20:26
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    Let's also ignore the implication that migration is an act of war.
    – phoog
    Commented Dec 11, 2016 at 14:11

2 Answers 2

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According to Unhcr.org there is a total number of 4,835,187 refugees from Syria. I guess that's where the number comes from. Not all go go Europe, and there are 972,012 asylum applications according to unhcr.org.

Refugees from Syria is 29% of the total (2015) of the total 1.26 million according to europe.eu.

And we know not all go to Europe as well. 2.5 million (that would mean about half of them) have gone to Saudi Arabia according to Aljazeera.

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    And that would be assuming all Syrian refugees are Muslim. Commented Apr 29, 2016 at 14:44
  • @called2voyage It's probably a safe assumption that the percentage of non-muslims in the Syrian refugees is higher than the percentage of Syrians that are staying put, but without hard numbers it's tricky to say anything. Commented Apr 29, 2016 at 15:17
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    @called2voyage And that is assuming all of them go to Europe. And we know not all do that. 2.5 million (that would mean about half of them) have gone to Saudi Arabia according to aljazeera.com/news/2015/09/…
    – liftarn
    Commented May 9, 2016 at 12:56
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    This assumes that the people who are trying to get to Europe are Syrian refugees. There are numerous claims that significant numbers are actually economical refuges from all over the Middle East and North Africa.
    – vartec
    Commented May 9, 2016 at 19:08
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    @SVilcans Just FYI, Mohammad has discovered that the 2.5 mil going to Saudi are not included in the UNHCR ~4.8 mil count. Commented May 12, 2016 at 15:27
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According to officials reports of United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees, there are 4,835,909 registered Syrian refugees (as of may 2016). I assume the estimate comes from there. That's slightly less than 5 million.

But the claim that "five million Muslims march on Europe" is blatantly false. Many of them are not Muslim and the overwhelming majority of them are registered in Muslim majority countries. The report says:

This figure includes 2.1 million Syrians registered by UNHCR in Egypt, Iraq, Jordan and Lebanon, 2.7 million Syrians registered by the Government of Turkey, as well as more than 29,000 Syrian refugees registered in North Africa.

The report also states that 1,004,345 Syrian refugees are seeking asylum in Europe (between Apr 2011 and Mar 2016). it's worth noting that many of the are not Muslim.

Also, according to Reuters and Al jazeera, Saudi Arabia has taken 2.5 million Syrians but Saudi government didn't register them as refugees because that would degrade them. The report states:

But Gulf states say they have taken in hundreds of thousands of Syrians since the civil war there began in 2011, just not as refugees.

The source said Saudi Arabia had received nearly 2.5 million Syrians since the conflict erupted.

"[Saudi Arabia] was keen to not deal with them as refugees, or to put them in refugee camps, to preserve their dignity and safety, and gave them complete freedom of movement."

"[Saudi Arabia] gave whoever chose to stay in the kingdom, which are in the hundreds of thousands, proper residency ... with all the rights that are included like free health care and engaging in the workforce and education."

The kingdom has also provided about $700m in humanitarian aid to Syrians and had set up clinics in various refugee camps, the statement by the SPA said.

The official source said more than 100,000 Syrian students were receiving free education in the kingdom.

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  • I do like the formatting of your answer, but given that it is based (entirely?) on S Vilcans's answer I'm having trouble understanding why you didn't edit and accept his. I'm refraining from upvoting for that reason. Commented May 11, 2016 at 19:54
  • Because his answer is a bit misleading. The 2.5 million Syrians who are living in Saudi are not refugees. Editing his answer would change the meaning of his answer. That's why I wrote my own. Commented May 11, 2016 at 20:00
  • Did you ask him to include this in his answer? Commented May 11, 2016 at 20:01
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    Also, even if they are not de jure refugees, they are still de facto refugees by definition. Commented May 11, 2016 at 20:02
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    @MohammadSakibArifin why do characterize Turkey as a country "far away from Europe" when in fact part of Turkey is Europe.
    – DavePhD
    Commented Nov 2, 2016 at 14:50

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