Can earthquakes and volcanic eruptions be "due" or "overdue"? As in "They typically happen every X years, we haven't had one for Y years, so we're more likely to have one now"?
I heard Kevin McCloud saying something along that line in "Escape to the Wild", about a volcano in Chile, but also lots of other times. Example claim
Though often overshadowed by the San Andreas, it was the Hayward Fault running through the East Bay Hills that shook.
Scientists across the Bay agree on one thing: the Hayward fault is overdue for a big one.
They say any day now.
The fault typically erupts with a major shaker every 140 years and it's been 147.