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According to yesmagazine.org's post A Wealthy Capitalist on Why Money Doesn't Trickle Down,

By 2040, it is estimated that 48 percent of all American jobs will be low-wage service jobs.

The claim also occurred again on thestanger.com's post:

By 2040, it is estimated that 48 percent of all American jobs will be low-wage service jobs.

This claim has been repeated on many sites and I'm skeptical about it. While we certainly can't know that future, we can predict it. I would like to know if there is a scientific study or a statistical methodology explaining the reason behind this claim, and what backing does it have if it exists?

  • I won't be surprised if this was based on this study projecting we're going to be competing for jobs with robots by 2040, but I can't find a direct correlation. – Bobson Sep 11 '14 at 20:24
  • Reopened after extensive editing. Thanks to all for improving. – Sklivvz Sep 12 '14 at 18:20
  • Here's a possible source (word-for-word) for the claim, from March 2014: <thestranger.com/seattle/…>. No source given there, either. Call me dubious. – szarka Sep 13 '14 at 3:04

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