4

Yesterday a news report said that an Iranian scientist claims to have invented a 'time machine' that will allow one to 'travel' up to 8 years into the future to predict with 98% accuracy the future for any individual.

Does this machine truly work? If so, how does it work?

  • Oh no! He's invented actuarialism! – Tacroy Apr 12 '13 at 16:22
  • 4
    Why the downvotes? – Tanmoy Apr 12 '13 at 16:36
  • 3
    My reading of that article is that it's not claiming that you can travel into the future but that you can predict the future for an individual (with 98% accuracy). A quote from the inventor, Ali Razeghi: "It will not take you into the future, it will bring the future to you." – Ladadadada Apr 12 '13 at 17:23
  • 2
    It's also short on specific claims. For instance, if I predict that everyone reading this will be alive in 8 years time and 98% of you survive for 8 years, that has satisfied the claims of the article. The phrase "98% accuracy" has no meaning without a specific claim. – Ladadadada Apr 12 '13 at 17:28
  • 11
    Reading comments by Ladadada on a question posted by Popopo is quite amusing – Dr. belisarius Apr 13 '13 at 2:16
12

Based on the links in the comments (particularly the Wired one), I'm saying "No".

  1. Iran has a history of publishing fake news stories on its state-run news website.
  2. Predicting chaotic systems such as the weather has a long history of scientific improvement and scientists have found that you need to feed a lot of data into your model and that the accuracy gets exponentially worse the further into the future you try to predict.
  3. There's no evidence of the device existing. There wasn't one supplied in the question or the article linked in the question and the original source article has been deleted.
  4. No specific, testable claims have been made, such as "Iran will have a new leader within two years".

You must log in to answer this question.

Not the answer you're looking for? Browse other questions tagged .