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Dec 30, 2022 at 21:54 comment added Schwern "The vast majority of the Crimean population would vote for the status quo" does not seem to be supported by the text of the poll. The question is about "if asked about your citizenship", not about the referendum. It's three years after Russian annexation. The poll seems to be asking about a fact rather than an opinion.
Dec 30, 2022 at 17:35 history edited SQB CC BY-SA 4.0
Fixed typos
Feb 27, 2019 at 12:11 comment added Evargalo @Fizz : Most of your comments answering Loren Pechtel would fit nicely in the body of your (already good) answer.
Jul 2, 2018 at 20:31 comment added Keith McClary ZOiS was established by the German Federal Government in 2016.
Jun 18, 2018 at 21:16 comment added Keith McClary Here is a copy of the GfK poll.
Jun 16, 2018 at 19:20 comment added Keith McClary ... "In February 2015, a poll by German polling firm GfK revealed that attitudes have not changed. When asked 'Do you endorse Russia’s annexation of Crimea?', a total of 82% of the respondents answered 'yes, definitely,' "
Jun 16, 2018 at 19:20 comment added Keith McClary One Year After Russia Annexed Crimea, Locals Prefer Moscow To Kiev: "A Gallup poll with the Broadcasting Board of Governors asked Crimeans if the results in the March 16, 2014 referendum to secede reflected the views of the people. A total of 82.8% of Crimeans said yes." ...
Jun 11, 2018 at 4:49 comment added days of love iff good genes (continued) "This de facto ethnic cleansing of the peninsula’s native inhabitants led to the death of between 20 and 50 percent of the Crimean Tatar community; the remainder were only able to return to Crimea in the 1990s."
Jun 11, 2018 at 4:49 comment added days of love iff good genes From LSE: "In spite of substantial Russian colonisation efforts throughout the 19th century, around 1900 the Tatars still formed the largest ethnic group on the peninsula. The demographic pre-eminence of ethnic Russians in Crimea was only firmly solidified following the mass deportation of the entire Crimean Tatar population, as well as the smaller populations of ethnic Armenians, Bulgars, and Greeks, at Joseph Stalin’s behest in 1944."
Jun 11, 2018 at 4:48 comment added days of love iff good genes @LorenPechtel: That would be before Stalin did his ethnic cleansing, in the 1940.
Jun 11, 2018 at 4:40 comment added Loren Pechtel I wasn't specifically talking about going back far enough to change the results, but simply going back far enough to avoid Russia stacking the deck.
Jun 11, 2018 at 4:26 comment added days of love iff good genes Or actually closer, but support for separatism only decreased recently in the view of substantial pro-Russia promises: "However, the outright secessionist preferences in Crimea declined afterwards, and they were expressed by 38 per cent of the respondents in the 2009 Razumkov Center poll. Thirty per cent voiced such views in the 2011 Razumkov Center poll after Yanukovych won the 2010 presidential election with promises of closer political and economic cooperation with Russia and making Russian the second state language in Ukraine (Iakist, 2011, p. 27)."
Jun 11, 2018 at 4:21 comment added days of love iff good genes "[...] In the 2008 Razumkov Center survey, conducted soon after the Russian-Georgian war following an attempt by the Georgian government to seize the de-facto independent secessionist region of South Ossetia, 73 per cent of the Crimeans, who made their minds on this issue, backed the secession of Crimea from Ukraine with a goal of joining Russia (calculated from AR Krym, 2008). In this survey, 85 per cent of ethnic Russians, 65 per cent of ethnic Ukrainians, and 17 per cent of the Crimean Tatars wanted their region to secede from Ukraine."
Jun 11, 2018 at 4:16 comment added days of love iff good genes "[...] Crimea was the only region of Ukraine with a majority ethnic Russian population. The 2001 census recorded 58 per cent of the population of Crimea, including Sevastopol, as ethnic Russian, and 24 per cent as ethnic Ukrainians. The Crimean Tatars constituted 10 per cent of the population.[...] The 1996 USIA/SOCIS-Gallup survey showed that 59 per cent of ethnic Russians in Crimea supported their region joining Russia. A significant percentage of ethnic Ukrainians (41 per cent), and a much lower percentage of the Crimean Tatars (8 per cent), expressed the same preference. "
Jun 11, 2018 at 4:15 comment added days of love iff good genes @LorenPechtel: oh, you'll have to go much further than 5 years to get a different result. From a book on the topic: "The Russia Bloc, which favoured an independent Crimea or the region’s reunification with Russia, received 67 per cent of the votes in the 1994 parliamentary election. Yury Meshkov, its candidate, won 73 per cent of the votes in the second round of the 1994 presidential election in Crimea."
Jun 11, 2018 at 3:36 comment added Loren Pechtel And how much of this is due to Russia moving in new inhabitants? To me, a much more accurate survey would be only asking those who lived there say 5 years ago.
Jun 10, 2018 at 7:26 vote accept Golden Cuy
Jun 10, 2018 at 6:56 comment added days of love iff good genes @AndrewGrimm: The methodology part of survey says: " The survey was conducted through individual face-to-face interviews. It is based on a representative sample of 1,800 urban and rural Crimean residents aged 18 and older. A booster sample of 200 Crimean Tatars was added to ensure that a sufficient number of Crimean Tatars were included in the sample. "
Jun 10, 2018 at 6:51 comment added days of love iff good genes @AndrewGrimm: Although I had not heard of ZOiS until today, it seems to be a genuine German academic/research institution based on its other publications. Furthermore the author has a Wikipedia page en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gwendolyn_Sasse ... which has no red flags. I don't know if "can we be confident that most respondents said what they really thought".
Jun 10, 2018 at 6:41 comment added Golden Cuy How trustworthy is the organisation that did the survey, and can we be confident that most respondents said what they really thought?
Jun 10, 2018 at 5:21 history edited days of love iff good genes CC BY-SA 4.0
added 619 characters in body
Jun 10, 2018 at 5:11 history answered days of love iff good genes CC BY-SA 4.0