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Recently it has been claimed that Audrey Tomason, the US government's Director for Counter-Terrorism has written a master's thesis about an "apocalypse equation":

[Audrey Tomason] wrote a master thesis [...] suggesting that it would be more humane for our world to undergo a “planned and controlled genocide” rather than to see it descend into the abyss of chaos it is now entering.

[...]

Ms Tomason argues in her thesis that our world’s population has been “artificially inflated” for the past nearly 100 years by a “non-sustainable” petrochemical and fossil fuel based global economy that if left “unchecked” could very well destroy all life on Earth, not just human beings.

[What Does It Mean news service]

Other sources:

Is there any evidence that a thesis written by Audrey Tomason exists? If so, is the content of this thesis really about an apocalypse equation as claimed in the links above? What is the form (mathematically) of that apocalypse equation? Is there any relation to the apocalypse equation by Bradford_Lyttle?

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Do you mean Audrey Tomason, the 'Director for Counterterrorism' or some other person with the same name? –  Martin Scharrer May 29 '11 at 21:49
    
Yes, I'm talking about Audrey Tomason, the Director for Counterterrorism. –  asmaier May 29 '11 at 21:55
    
Weird! When I visit the Harvard Kennedy School for Business, Audrey Tomason appears in the search results for an Alumni honor roll of donors: hks.harvard.edu/advanced-search?q=Audrey+Tomason - the excerpt includes her name, but when I click on the link, her name isn't on the page, suggesting it has been recently deleted. Woooooo! –  Oddthinking May 30 '11 at 13:10
    
Yesterday when I clicked on that WhenSHTF.com link I got hit with a bad virus. –  Mike Dunlavey May 30 '11 at 14:59
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@asmaier: I think you mean a "master's thesis", not a "PHD thesis". –  ESultanik Jun 30 '11 at 16:26
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2 Answers 2

A partial answer:

In Bradford Lyttle's Apocalypse Equation is a stochastic model, initially proposed in 1982, linking the risk of (accidental) nuclear apocalypse with the number of nuclear weapons being stored. [Ref, Ref]

Audrey Tomason's alleged master's thesis is allegedly about economic collapse being triggered by an unsustainable oil industry. [OP's ref]

These are unrelated issues, and therefore there is no relation to terms "Apocalypse Equation" between the two uses.

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Theses and dissertations, by their nature, are intended to be publicly available documents. As such, all reputable universities of which I know require that theses be indexed in the school's library or archive. "Audrey Tomason" does not appear at all in the Tufts University library index. According to Harvard's archives, all abstracts of Masters theses written after 1988 are electronically available, however, the only link to "Audrey Tomason" on the Harvard library's index is for this paper:

Therefore, I can only think of three possibilities:

  • Audrey Tomason did not write a Master's thesis;
  • she wrote a Master's thesis at a university other than Tufts or Harvard; or
  • the record of her thesis was either accidentally or intentionally removed from the online index (or it was never included in the first place).

In response to vartec's comment about classification, if that is truly the case, then that falls under the third possibility I listed above and it is likely unverifiable unless a FOIA request is made. It should be noted, however, that there are restrictions on how and when the US government can classify civilian documents. From Executive Order 13562 Section 1.7 parts (b) and (c):

(b) Basic scientific research information not clearly related to the national security shall not be classified.

(c) Information may not be reclassified after declassification and release to the public under proper authority unless:
...
    (2) the information may be reasonably recovered without bringing undue attention to the information;
...

A Master's thesis should (although not necessarily) constitute "basic scientific research". Also, from the quotes in asmaier's question, it doesn't seem like the thesis is directly related to national security. Finally, I interpret part (c)(2) to mean that once a thesis is made available publicly (especially on the Internet), it is likely difficult to increase its classification level.

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it's allegedly "classified top secret by government" –  vartec Jun 30 '11 at 17:17
    
I doubt there is a website which has a comprehensive list of master theses written at our institute. Yes, nominally it’s on public record but in reality this means that you have to actually go there and request the documents personally. If you’re lucky, an email or phone inquiry might also work. –  Konrad Rudolph Sep 19 '11 at 11:27
    
I am not sure if it is comprehensive, but your institute seems to do a pretty good job of posting them online. I've never seen a university that has a library and doesn't index master's theses on the library's website's public index. –  ESultanik Sep 19 '11 at 12:42
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